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Due Diligence & Day Trading
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An increase in earnings generally leads to a higher stock price and, in some cases, a regular dividend
A decrease in earnings generally leads to lower stock prices and a fall in dividend.
Earnings are a strong indicator of the direction the company’s stock is going.
Earnings Per Share
(Earnings Per Share is determined by dividing the Net Earnings among the Outstanding Shares.)
Unfortunately, there is a problem in focusing on earnings alone as a way to understand and compare stocks from one company to another, which, at some point, every trader must do.
Comparing the earnings of one company to another is a very limited method and doesn’t really make much logical sense. If company A is a multimillion dollar corporation and company B is a small business operating in a small area with only a small staff, it doesn’t make much sense to compare the earnings of company A with company B to determine which has the best stock. Using the raw numbers overlooks the likelihood that the two companies have a different number of outstanding shares.
If company A and company B both earn $1000 over a quarter but company A has only 10 shares outstanding and company B has 50, you would find the following:
Company A Earnings Per Share = $1000/10 = $100
Company B Earnings Per Share = $1000/50 = $20
According to the Earnings Per Share (or EPS), company A is a better investment. And while you shouldn’t make a determination based on the earnings or the EPS alone, you should review the three types of EPS numbers and factor them into your decision making:
Trailing EPS – last year’s numbers and the only actual EPS
Current EPS – this year’s numbers, which are still projections
Forward EPS – future numbers, which are obviously projections
There are many other methods for performing due diligence as a day trader. Develop your own style and stick to it.
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